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The pace of violence
Posted by on October 4th, 2011

From our partners at

By Dave Anderson:

Pace of attacks in Iraq in October 2005:

Pentagon officials said that in October there were about 100 attacks a day in Iraq compared with 85 to 90 attacks a day in September — and about half of all attacks involve homemade bombs.

USA Today on Afghani IEDs:

From June through August, U.S. troops detected or were hit by 5,088 improvised explosive devices (IEDs), the most for any three-month period since the war began in 2001.

Assuming 90 days from June 1 to August 30, 2011, and that is a pace of 55 to 56 IEDs per day. That is roughly the same pace of violence as Iraq in 2005. And there is no countervailing militia force available for a brutal ethnic cleansing campaign to go against the Taliban and Pashtuns. The pace of violence has steadily increased every fighting season from 2002 onwards, and it is only likely to go up until at least 2014.

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